Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #511 of 1,000

P0710

Strict limits. The visible result sits at the 47,7% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 8 073

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 1 927

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 489Deviation -R 1 438

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 1 927. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 1 819

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 3 795 to R 3 765
Finished ahead: 224 / 1,000 (22,4%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #526 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 1,51% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.744
Mean bets / session: 2.397
Loss multiplier: 1.0151×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 9,7% / 12,3% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

BaccaratR 1 76914 wagers · RTP 0,00%

European RouletteR 1 20310 wagers · RTP 109,64%

Lottery / JackpotR 5996 wagers · RTP 198,66%

BlackjackR 5374 wagers · RTP 94,60%

Three-Reel SlotR 5274 wagers · RTP 14,23%

CrashR 3973 wagers · RTP 137,03%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 2222 wagers · RTP 0,00%

American RouletteR 1211 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Craps / DiceR 941 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Virtual Sports BettingR 941 wagers · RTP 0,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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