Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #362 of 1,000

P0713

Strict limits. The visible result sits at the 43,5% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 9 411

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 589

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 80Deviation -R 509

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 589. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 511

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 1 290 to R 1 623
Finished ahead: 251 / 1,000 (25,1%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #354 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,74% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.693
Mean bets / session: 2.12
Loss multiplier: 1.0021×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 12,2% / 14,4% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

European RouletteR 5428 wagers · RTP 74,72%

BlackjackR 4737 wagers · RTP 73,57%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 3635 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BaccaratR 2814 wagers · RTP 124,50%

CrashR 2123 wagers · RTP 132,08%

Three-Reel SlotR 2103 wagers · RTP 83,33%

Lottery / JackpotR 711 wagers · RTP 0,00%

American RouletteR 701 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Virtual Sports BettingR 661 wagers · RTP 213,58%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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