Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #664 of 1,000

P0715

Strict limits. The visible result sits at the 7,7% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 6 098

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 3 902

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 389Deviation -R 3 513

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 3 902. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 2 086

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 4 060 to R 7 371
Finished ahead: 231 / 1,000 (23,1%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #554 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,97% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.128
Mean bets / session: 4.619
Loss multiplier: 1.0089×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 15,7% / 17,9% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

BaccaratR 2 31333 wagers · RTP 94,34%

Three-Reel SlotR 1 97527 wagers · RTP 61,11%

European RouletteR 1 63122 wagers · RTP 37,58%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 76210 wagers · RTP 7,87%

BlackjackR 6949 wagers · RTP 90,56%

Lottery / JackpotR 6889 wagers · RTP 27,03%

Craps / DiceR 4717 wagers · RTP 80,25%

American RouletteR 4635 wagers · RTP 0,00%

CrashR 2814 wagers · RTP 142,88%

Virtual Sports BettingR 2804 wagers · RTP 0,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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