Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #402 of 1,000

P0717

Strict limits. The visible result sits at the 64,9% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 9 145

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 855

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 632Deviation -R 223

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 855. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 1 748

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 4 083 to R 6 404
Finished ahead: 265 / 1,000 (26,5%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #519 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 1,66% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.021
Mean bets / session: 3.182
Loss multiplier: 1.0025×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 9,8% / 21,5% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

BaccaratR 2 84118 wagers · RTP 116,37%

European RouletteR 2 25114 wagers · RTP 158,73%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1 89812 wagers · RTP 56,22%

Craps / DiceR 1 2588 wagers · RTP 124,96%

American RouletteR 1 1157 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BlackjackR 1 1057 wagers · RTP 105,52%

Lottery / JackpotR 1 00010 wagers · RTP 40,00%

CrashR 9376 wagers · RTP 100,96%

Three-Reel SlotR 4843 wagers · RTP 66,53%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 4783 wagers · RTP 33,47%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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