Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #148 of 1,000

P0718

Strict limits. The visible result sits at the 83,3% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 10 831

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

R 831

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 480Deviation R 1 311

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L R 831. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 1 398

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 3 510 to R 2 770
Finished ahead: 246 / 1,000 (24,6%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #470 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 1,00% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.672
Mean bets / session: 4.607
Loss multiplier: 1.0142×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 10,5% / 18,7% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

BaccaratR 1 46314 wagers · RTP 58,44%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1 03810 wagers · RTP 0,00%

European RouletteR 1 01810 wagers · RTP 330,55%

Craps / DiceR 5155 wagers · RTP 201,94%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 3093 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BlackjackR 3063 wagers · RTP 152,78%

Lottery / JackpotR 2993 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 2963 wagers · RTP 83,78%

CrashR 991 wagers · RTP 200,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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