Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #501 of 1,000

P0719

Strict limits. The visible result sits at the 28,2% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 8 157

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 1 843

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 223Deviation -R 1 620

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 1 843. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 1 126

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 2 868 to R 3 286
Finished ahead: 280 / 1,000 (28,0%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #439 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,96% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.926
Mean bets / session: 3.966
Loss multiplier: 1.0152×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 15,7% / 25,9% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

CrashR 1 40517 wagers · RTP 108,47%

BaccaratR 1 20514 wagers · RTP 89,03%

European RouletteR 1 20415 wagers · RTP 19,68%

American RouletteR 4025 wagers · RTP 120,15%

Virtual Sports BettingR 3284 wagers · RTP 46,39%

Three-Reel SlotR 3284 wagers · RTP 62,80%

Lottery / JackpotR 3124 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BlackjackR 2633 wagers · RTP 69,20%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 2563 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Craps / DiceR 1632 wagers · RTP 101,84%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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