Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #568 of 1,000

P0722

Strict limits. The visible result sits at the 42,8% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 7 545

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 2 455

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 486Deviation -R 1 968

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 2 455. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 1 940

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 4 608 to R 5 440
Finished ahead: 254 / 1,000 (25,4%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #544 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 1,43% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.199
Mean bets / session: 3.269
Loss multiplier: 1.0193×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 10,7% / 26,0% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

American RouletteR 2 74125 wagers · RTP 103,58%

BaccaratR 2 17019 wagers · RTP 116,28%

European RouletteR 1 60214 wagers · RTP 19,29%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 9108 wagers · RTP 0,00%

CrashR 8307 wagers · RTP 138,55%

Three-Reel SlotR 7917 wagers · RTP 36,98%

Lottery / JackpotR 7007 wagers · RTP 28,57%

BlackjackR 6436 wagers · RTP 131,26%

Craps / DiceR 6035 wagers · RTP 71,31%

Virtual Sports BettingR 3133 wagers · RTP 83,27%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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