Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #396 of 1,000

P0723

Strict limits. The visible result sits at the 61,7% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 9 195

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 805

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 240Deviation -R 565

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 805. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 1 274

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 3 089 to R 5 036
Finished ahead: 244 / 1,000 (24,4%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #461 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 1,77% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.831
Mean bets / session: 2.118
Loss multiplier: 1.0184×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 9,2% / 27,4% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

BaccaratR 1 3298 wagers · RTP 85,40%

Craps / DiceR 9696 wagers · RTP 147,57%

BlackjackR 8055 wagers · RTP 77,27%

Virtual Sports BettingR 6374 wagers · RTP 145,81%

European RouletteR 5103 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 4863 wagers · RTP 34,77%

Lottery / JackpotR 3003 wagers · RTP 133,33%

American RouletteR 1551 wagers · RTP 0,00%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 1501 wagers · RTP 0,00%

CrashR 1491 wagers · RTP 0,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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