Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #77 of 1,000

P0724

Strict limits. The visible result sits at the 96,1% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTTail resultNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 15 094

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

R 5 094

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 316Deviation R 5 410

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L R 5 094. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 1 100

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 2 583 to R 3 325
Finished ahead: 249 / 1,000 (24,9%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #435 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 1,08% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.006
Mean bets / session: 2.645
Loss multiplier: 1.0041×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 15,6% / 16,7% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

BaccaratR 3 11322 wagers · RTP 130,29%

European RouletteR 1 56912 wagers · RTP 323,14%

CrashR 9348 wagers · RTP 87,55%

Three-Reel SlotR 7837 wagers · RTP 53,19%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 7315 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BlackjackR 6834 wagers · RTP 48,32%

Virtual Sports BettingR 4673 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 3964 wagers · RTP 0,00%

American RouletteR 3603 wagers · RTP 880,00%

Craps / DiceR 2722 wagers · RTP 200,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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