Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #611 of 1,000

P0726

Strict limits. The visible result sits at the 9,1% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 6 963

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 3 037

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 222Deviation -R 2 814

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 3 037. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 1 527

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 3 229 to R 5 057
Finished ahead: 210 / 1,000 (21,0%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #490 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 1,67% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.639
Mean bets / session: 2.54
Loss multiplier: 1.0119×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 12,7% / 26,2% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

European RouletteR 1 68511 wagers · RTP 78,34%

BaccaratR 1 54810 wagers · RTP 20,16%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 1 1628 wagers · RTP 15,06%

CrashR 8025 wagers · RTP 94,05%

Three-Reel SlotR 4563 wagers · RTP 31,80%

Lottery / JackpotR 3003 wagers · RTP 66,67%

Craps / DiceR 1661 wagers · RTP 200,00%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1561 wagers · RTP 0,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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