Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #503 of 1,000

P0728

Strict limits. The visible result sits at the 34,4% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 8 117

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 1 883

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 355Deviation -R 1 527

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 1 883. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 1 245

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 3 268 to R 3 788
Finished ahead: 300 / 1,000 (30,0%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #455 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 1,09% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.997
Mean bets / session: 4.422
Loss multiplier: 1.0105×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 12,1% / 12,6% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

BaccaratR 2 87830 wagers · RTP 127,13%

European RouletteR 2 01221 wagers · RTP 22,71%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1 79019 wagers · RTP 95,05%

CrashR 7148 wagers · RTP 124,58%

Three-Reel SlotR 6907 wagers · RTP 91,23%

American RouletteR 4895 wagers · RTP 57,67%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 4565 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BlackjackR 3904 wagers · RTP 52,31%

Lottery / JackpotR 2903 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Craps / DiceR 1882 wagers · RTP 102,13%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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