Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #523 of 1,000

P0729

Strict limits. The visible result sits at the 9,4% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 7 982

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 2 018

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 177Deviation -R 1 841

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 2 018. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 882

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 2 218 to R 3 438
Finished ahead: 269 / 1,000 (26,9%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #411 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 1,09% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.894
Mean bets / session: 2.119
Loss multiplier: 1.0084×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 14,8% / 21,9% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

European RouletteR 1 46715 wagers · RTP 62,17%

BaccaratR 1 31914 wagers · RTP 88,93%

CrashR 5576 wagers · RTP 62,61%

Three-Reel SlotR 4825 wagers · RTP 84,34%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 3834 wagers · RTP 0,00%

American RouletteR 2883 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1882 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 1762 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BlackjackR 991 wagers · RTP 200,00%

Craps / DiceR 971 wagers · RTP 0,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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