Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #201 of 1,000

P0730

Strict limits. The visible result sits at the 82,1% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 10 147

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

R 147

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 123Deviation R 270

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L R 147. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 747

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 1 584 to R 1 585
Finished ahead: 218 / 1,000 (21,8%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #392 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,62% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.64
Mean bets / session: 3.176
Loss multiplier: 1.0157×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 11,6% / 21,9% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

European RouletteR 99816 wagers · RTP 198,40%

Craps / DiceR 4487 wagers · RTP 84,38%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 3205 wagers · RTP 21,56%

BaccaratR 3185 wagers · RTP 114,06%

American RouletteR 2514 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 2023 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BlackjackR 1973 wagers · RTP 101,02%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1863 wagers · RTP 40,73%

CrashR 1152 wagers · RTP 102,61%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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