Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #428 of 1,000

P0731

Strict limits. The visible result sits at the 55,0% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 8 872

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 1 128

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 280Deviation -R 848

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 1 128. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 1 352

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 3 213 to R 5 523
Finished ahead: 279 / 1,000 (27,9%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #473 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 1,32% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.127
Mean bets / session: 2.147
Loss multiplier: 1.0068×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 13,3% / 17,4% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

European RouletteR 2 39519 wagers · RTP 32,69%

BaccaratR 9748 wagers · RTP 159,49%

CrashR 8707 wagers · RTP 73,59%

BlackjackR 6375 wagers · RTP 179,12%

Three-Reel SlotR 6095 wagers · RTP 50,74%

Craps / DiceR 5084 wagers · RTP 150,39%

Lottery / JackpotR 5005 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Virtual Sports BettingR 3743 wagers · RTP 211,20%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 2422 wagers · RTP 0,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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