Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #467 of 1,000

P0732

Strict limits. The visible result sits at the 41,2% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 8 422

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 1 578

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 207Deviation -R 1 370

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 1 578. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 1 276

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 3 055 to R 4 192
Finished ahead: 271 / 1,000 (27,1%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #463 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 1,13% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.865
Mean bets / session: 3.245
Loss multiplier: 1.0173×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 15,2% / 12,8% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

BaccaratR 2 20721 wagers · RTP 79,90%

European RouletteR 1 61215 wagers · RTP 63,40%

CrashR 1 03810 wagers · RTP 63,32%

American RouletteR 7647 wagers · RTP 30,10%

BlackjackR 6126 wagers · RTP 209,48%

Three-Reel SlotR 5185 wagers · RTP 31,08%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 5125 wagers · RTP 126,56%

Virtual Sports BettingR 2172 wagers · RTP 63,97%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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