Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #216 of 1,000

P0733

Strict limits. The visible result sits at the 76,7% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 10 054

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

R 54

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 803Deviation R 857

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L R 54. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 2 331

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 5 246 to R 9 708
Finished ahead: 236 / 1,000 (23,6%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #579 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 1,76% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.181
Mean bets / session: 4.015
Loss multiplier: 1.0078×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 9,2% / 18,8% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

BaccaratR 5 39830 wagers · RTP 76,38%

BlackjackR 4 70426 wagers · RTP 96,92%

European RouletteR 4 26824 wagers · RTP 83,13%

Three-Reel SlotR 1 77510 wagers · RTP 305,77%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1 5018 wagers · RTP 112,98%

American RouletteR 1 4758 wagers · RTP 34,78%

CrashR 1 4668 wagers · RTP 146,42%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 1 1526 wagers · RTP 18,06%

Craps / DiceR 1 0206 wagers · RTP 97,25%

Lottery / JackpotR 6006 wagers · RTP 33,33%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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