Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #670 of 1,000

P0734

Strict limits. The visible result sits at the 9,0% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 6 015

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 3 985

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 407Deviation -R 3 578

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 3 985. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 1 779

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 4 455 to R 9 558
Finished ahead: 288 / 1,000 (28,8%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #525 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 1,56% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.136
Mean bets / session: 3.138
Loss multiplier: 1.0173×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 14,5% / 18,5% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

BaccaratR 3 81529 wagers · RTP 112,66%

European RouletteR 1 42611 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 1 0898 wagers · RTP 41,09%

Virtual Sports BettingR 9167 wagers · RTP 42,43%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 8547 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BlackjackR 7276 wagers · RTP 81,43%

American RouletteR 6505 wagers · RTP 79,08%

Craps / DiceR 5915 wagers · RTP 45,01%

Lottery / JackpotR 5005 wagers · RTP 40,00%

CrashR 1231 wagers · RTP 0,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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