Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #606 of 1,000

P0736

Strict limits. The visible result sits at the 28,9% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 7 059

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 2 941

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 374Deviation -R 2 567

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 2 941. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 2 113

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 3 936 to R 8 761
Finished ahead: 222 / 1,000 (22,2%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #555 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 1,28% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.844
Mean bets / session: 3.977
Loss multiplier: 1.0136×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 15,8% / 12,8% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

European RouletteR 1 68116 wagers · RTP 68,29%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 1 63216 wagers · RTP 33,09%

Three-Reel SlotR 1 53114 wagers · RTP 28,28%

BaccaratR 1 21912 wagers · RTP 127,77%

Virtual Sports BettingR 9199 wagers · RTP 73,08%

American RouletteR 8488 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Craps / DiceR 6066 wagers · RTP 95,05%

BlackjackR 5125 wagers · RTP 221,58%

CrashR 3233 wagers · RTP 112,38%

Lottery / JackpotR 2943 wagers · RTP 68,03%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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