Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #156 of 1,000

P0737

Strict limits. The visible result sits at the 80,9% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 10 640

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

R 640

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 267Deviation R 907

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L R 640. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 1 151

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 2 781 to R 3 696
Finished ahead: 276 / 1,000 (27,6%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #442 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,82% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.016
Mean bets / session: 4.653
Loss multiplier: 1.0156×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 12,4% / 16,0% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

European RouletteR 2 25127 wagers · RTP 140,43%

Craps / DiceR 2 06525 wagers · RTP 78,93%

BaccaratR 1 97324 wagers · RTP 88,24%

BlackjackR 1 17414 wagers · RTP 116,95%

Three-Reel SlotR 7309 wagers · RTP 76,85%

Virtual Sports BettingR 6708 wagers · RTP 104,89%

CrashR 4175 wagers · RTP 78,24%

American RouletteR 4145 wagers · RTP 41,06%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 871 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 841 wagers · RTP 1 000,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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