Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #388 of 1,000

P0738

Strict limits. The visible result sits at the 60,1% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 9 244

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 756

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 398Deviation -R 359

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 756. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 1 173

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 3 028 to R 4 207
Finished ahead: 269 / 1,000 (26,9%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #447 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 1,09% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.072
Mean bets / session: 2.875
Loss multiplier: 1.0148×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 11,5% / 16,5% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

BaccaratR 1 66317 wagers · RTP 126,01%

European RouletteR 1 62617 wagers · RTP 104,37%

Lottery / JackpotR 96210 wagers · RTP 20,79%

CrashR 9069 wagers · RTP 88,91%

American RouletteR 6036 wagers · RTP 84,58%

Virtual Sports BettingR 5696 wagers · RTP 68,99%

BlackjackR 5115 wagers · RTP 79,06%

Craps / DiceR 5055 wagers · RTP 125,54%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 3994 wagers · RTP 99,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 3774 wagers · RTP 61,27%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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