Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #580 of 1,000

P0739

Strict limits. The visible result sits at the 27,7% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 7 419

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 2 581

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 430Deviation -R 2 151

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 2 581. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 1 671

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 3 752 to R 6 621
Finished ahead: 243 / 1,000 (24,3%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #502 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,98% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.138
Mean bets / session: 4.847
Loss multiplier: 1.0049×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 14,5% / 14,6% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

European RouletteR 2 58133 wagers · RTP 70,55%

BaccaratR 2 22028 wagers · RTP 64,76%

CrashR 1 82623 wagers · RTP 111,60%

BlackjackR 1 08613 wagers · RTP 72,47%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1 07413 wagers · RTP 98,68%

Three-Reel SlotR 91311 wagers · RTP 56,41%

Craps / DiceR 84610 wagers · RTP 118,68%

American RouletteR 82010 wagers · RTP 124,27%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 6177 wagers · RTP 15,07%

Lottery / JackpotR 3725 wagers · RTP 0,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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