Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #369 of 1,000

P0740

Strict limits. The visible result sits at the 67,7% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 9 384

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 616

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 256Deviation -R 361

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 616. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 1 151

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 2 285 to R 2 340
Finished ahead: 198 / 1,000 (19,8%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #446 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,63% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.182
Mean bets / session: 2.994
Loss multiplier: 1.0124×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 14,8% / 19,6% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

European RouletteR 1 34923 wagers · RTP 103,41%

BaccaratR 1 18320 wagers · RTP 97,09%

Lottery / JackpotR 64311 wagers · RTP 18,04%

BlackjackR 4708 wagers · RTP 88,09%

CrashR 3586 wagers · RTP 100,56%

Three-Reel SlotR 3566 wagers · RTP 94,94%

American RouletteR 3536 wagers · RTP 212,46%

Craps / DiceR 2344 wagers · RTP 52,99%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 2324 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1743 wagers · RTP 51,78%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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