Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #447 of 1,000

P0741

Strict limits. The visible result sits at the 46,4% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 8 598

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 1 402

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 298Deviation -R 1 104

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 1 402. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 1 251

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 3 148 to R 3 819
Finished ahead: 278 / 1,000 (27,8%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #458 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,95% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.999
Mean bets / session: 3.792
Loss multiplier: 1.0055×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 13,0% / 16,9% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

European RouletteR 3 55040 wagers · RTP 126,70%

BaccaratR 1 44816 wagers · RTP 54,28%

Three-Reel SlotR 96211 wagers · RTP 76,46%

Craps / DiceR 7188 wagers · RTP 47,63%

American RouletteR 5176 wagers · RTP 0,00%

CrashR 3714 wagers · RTP 128,64%

Virtual Sports BettingR 3624 wagers · RTP 40,90%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 3614 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BlackjackR 3534 wagers · RTP 149,58%

Lottery / JackpotR 2753 wagers · RTP 0,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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