Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #170 of 1,000

P0742

Strict limits. The visible result sits at the 79,2% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 10 428

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

R 428

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 361Deviation R 789

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L R 428. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 1 083

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 2 661 to R 3 332
Finished ahead: 259 / 1,000 (25,9%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #434 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 1,01% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.83
Mean bets / session: 3.117
Loss multiplier: 1.0006×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 9,0% / 25,1% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

European RouletteR 1 38713 wagers · RTP 56,89%

American RouletteR 1 06610 wagers · RTP 27,02%

Three-Reel SlotR 1 03610 wagers · RTP 359,51%

BaccaratR 8588 wagers · RTP 126,59%

Lottery / JackpotR 7928 wagers · RTP 25,25%

Virtual Sports BettingR 6066 wagers · RTP 88,10%

Craps / DiceR 5555 wagers · RTP 39,64%

BlackjackR 4244 wagers · RTP 98,58%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 1081 wagers · RTP 0,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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