Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #410 of 1,000

P0744

Strict limits. The visible result sits at the 41,0% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 9 035

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 965

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 141Deviation -R 824

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 965. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 781

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 1 810 to R 2 018
Finished ahead: 214 / 1,000 (21,4%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #397 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,85% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.771
Mean bets / session: 2.578
Loss multiplier: 1.0095×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 14,2% / 16,3% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

European RouletteR 1 06813 wagers · RTP 91,67%

BaccaratR 98812 wagers · RTP 74,39%

American RouletteR 3274 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 3204 wagers · RTP 0,00%

CrashR 2493 wagers · RTP 109,94%

Virtual Sports BettingR 841 wagers · RTP 294,12%

Three-Reel SlotR 841 wagers · RTP 0,00%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 801 wagers · RTP 0,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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