Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #517 of 1,000

P0745

Strict limits. The visible result sits at the 13,3% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 8 038

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 1 962

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 228Deviation -R 1 734

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 1 962. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 931

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 2 403 to R 3 383
Finished ahead: 291 / 1,000 (29,1%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #414 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,80% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.78
Mean bets / session: 3.713
Loss multiplier: 1.0112×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 13,3% / 20,2% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

European RouletteR 1 43620 wagers · RTP 14,83%

BaccaratR 1 05315 wagers · RTP 126,28%

Three-Reel SlotR 72310 wagers · RTP 15,15%

Lottery / JackpotR 4877 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Virtual Sports BettingR 3445 wagers · RTP 89,92%

BlackjackR 2804 wagers · RTP 75,36%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 2143 wagers · RTP 165,89%

CrashR 2103 wagers · RTP 128,57%

American RouletteR 1452 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Craps / DiceR 1322 wagers · RTP 200,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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