Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #619 of 1,000

P0746

Strict limits. The visible result sits at the 15,9% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 6 908

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 3 092

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 328Deviation -R 2 764

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 3 092. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 1 763

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 3 583 to R 7 776
Finished ahead: 220 / 1,000 (22,0%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #518 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 1,14% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.717
Mean bets / session: 4.47
Loss multiplier: 1.0113×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 14,9% / 20,3% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

BaccaratR 1 87321 wagers · RTP 88,15%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 1 27714 wagers · RTP 29,37%

European RouletteR 1 09412 wagers · RTP 93,33%

CrashR 88710 wagers · RTP 119,02%

Three-Reel SlotR 7208 wagers · RTP 25,49%

BlackjackR 5836 wagers · RTP 47,51%

Craps / DiceR 4916 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 4575 wagers · RTP 35,01%

Virtual Sports BettingR 4435 wagers · RTP 0,00%

American RouletteR 1722 wagers · RTP 105,81%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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