Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #371 of 1,000

P0747

Strict limits. The visible result sits at the 67,6% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 9 375

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 625

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 224Deviation -R 400

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 625. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 1 366

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 3 198 to R 4 340
Finished ahead: 252 / 1,000 (25,2%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #470 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 1,22% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.94
Mean bets / session: 2.971
Loss multiplier: 1.0165×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 9,1% / 15,1% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

European RouletteR 1 42113 wagers · RTP 59,04%

BaccaratR 1 31312 wagers · RTP 96,53%

Craps / DiceR 1 30912 wagers · RTP 132,93%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 7437 wagers · RTP 65,28%

BlackjackR 6356 wagers · RTP 32,13%

Three-Reel SlotR 5585 wagers · RTP 10,93%

CrashR 4504 wagers · RTP 93,89%

Virtual Sports BettingR 4414 wagers · RTP 45,40%

Lottery / JackpotR 2002 wagers · RTP 500,00%

American RouletteR 1131 wagers · RTP 300,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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