Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #508 of 1,000

P0748

Strict limits. The visible result sits at the 25,8% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 8 096

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 1 904

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 372Deviation -R 1 532

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 1 904. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 1 078

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 2 783 to R 2 958
Finished ahead: 248 / 1,000 (24,8%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #437 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,94% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.854
Mean bets / session: 4.109
Loss multiplier: 1.0133×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 12,4% / 12,8% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

European RouletteR 2 28726 wagers · RTP 78,18%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1 56918 wagers · RTP 88,35%

BaccaratR 1 41716 wagers · RTP 67,39%

American RouletteR 1 04112 wagers · RTP 100,58%

BlackjackR 7709 wagers · RTP 68,83%

Three-Reel SlotR 5286 wagers · RTP 127,75%

Craps / DiceR 5136 wagers · RTP 69,01%

Lottery / JackpotR 4445 wagers · RTP 0,00%

CrashR 3344 wagers · RTP 79,19%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

← Return to all 1,000 policies