Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #799 of 1,000

P0749

Strict limits. The visible result sits at the 0,6% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTTail resultNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 3 692

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 6 308

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 871Deviation -R 5 437

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 6 308. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 2 652

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 5 642 to R 7 327
Finished ahead: 241 / 1,000 (24,1%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #609 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 1,71% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.935
Mean bets / session: 4.151
Loss multiplier: 1.011×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 11,7% / 19,7% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

BaccaratR 2 30121 wagers · RTP 0,00%

European RouletteR 2 09520 wagers · RTP 53,41%

BlackjackR 9309 wagers · RTP 103,98%

Craps / DiceR 8879 wagers · RTP 97,52%

Lottery / JackpotR 8419 wagers · RTP 42,33%

CrashR 8288 wagers · RTP 72,22%

American RouletteR 8078 wagers · RTP 0,00%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 8048 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 5065 wagers · RTP 42,49%

Virtual Sports BettingR 4294 wagers · RTP 0,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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