Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #448 of 1,000

P0750

Strict limits. The visible result sits at the 31,7% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 8 596

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 1 404

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 277Deviation -R 1 127

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 1 404. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 1 023

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 2 095 to R 2 077
Finished ahead: 203 / 1,000 (20,3%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #427 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,63% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.606
Mean bets / session: 4.894
Loss multiplier: 1.004×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 10,3% / 21,5% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

Lottery / JackpotR 96518 wagers · RTP 21,97%

European RouletteR 90116 wagers · RTP 40,40%

BaccaratR 71213 wagers · RTP 94,13%

Craps / DiceR 4548 wagers · RTP 123,35%

American RouletteR 2815 wagers · RTP 40,57%

CrashR 2284 wagers · RTP 33,99%

BlackjackR 2274 wagers · RTP 150,66%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 2074 wagers · RTP 125,60%

Three-Reel SlotR 1563 wagers · RTP 50,64%

Virtual Sports BettingR 621 wagers · RTP 178,23%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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