Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #353 of 1,000

P0751

Strict limits. The visible result sits at the 62,1% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 9 444

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 556

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 396Deviation -R 160

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 556. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 1 127

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 2 939 to R 5 210
Finished ahead: 295 / 1,000 (29,5%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #443 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,96% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.746
Mean bets / session: 4.545
Loss multiplier: 1.0088×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 10,9% / 19,0% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

European RouletteR 3 46635 wagers · RTP 144,37%

BaccaratR 2 33124 wagers · RTP 72,50%

American RouletteR 7157 wagers · RTP 39,86%

CrashR 6857 wagers · RTP 111,97%

Three-Reel SlotR 5806 wagers · RTP 34,31%

Craps / DiceR 5746 wagers · RTP 66,90%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 5686 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 4875 wagers · RTP 41,07%

Virtual Sports BettingR 4815 wagers · RTP 46,69%

BlackjackR 4795 wagers · RTP 220,46%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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