Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #119 of 1,000

P0753

Strict limits. The visible result sits at the 94,3% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 11 955

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

R 1 955

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 137Deviation R 2 092

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L R 1 955. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 887

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 2 020 to R 2 215
Finished ahead: 236 / 1,000 (23,6%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #410 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,76% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.007
Mean bets / session: 2.957
Loss multiplier: 1.0073×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 15,7% / 12,8% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

BlackjackR 1 37718 wagers · RTP 94,34%

BaccaratR 1 29517 wagers · RTP 129,73%

European RouletteR 1 18315 wagers · RTP 273,12%

Craps / DiceR 4786 wagers · RTP 69,04%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 4376 wagers · RTP 88,10%

CrashR 4255 wagers · RTP 60,59%

Three-Reel SlotR 3435 wagers · RTP 113,56%

American RouletteR 791 wagers · RTP 0,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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