Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #506 of 1,000

P0755

Strict limits. The visible result sits at the 47,3% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 8 100

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 1 900

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 417Deviation -R 1 483

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 1 900. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 1 734

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 3 591 to R 4 934
Finished ahead: 237 / 1,000 (23,7%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #512 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 1,09% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.915
Mean bets / session: 4.167
Loss multiplier: 1.0115×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 8,5% / 26,3% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

European RouletteR 2 09421 wagers · RTP 118,29%

BaccaratR 1 67917 wagers · RTP 116,22%

Three-Reel SlotR 1 39414 wagers · RTP 22,60%

American RouletteR 1 09811 wagers · RTP 36,25%

Craps / DiceR 8519 wagers · RTP 64,16%

CrashR 7147 wagers · RTP 156,83%

Lottery / JackpotR 6847 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BlackjackR 5366 wagers · RTP 102,61%

Virtual Sports BettingR 5075 wagers · RTP 115,56%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 3874 wagers · RTP 26,10%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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