Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #635 of 1,000

P0757

Strict limits. The visible result sits at the 13,7% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 6 715

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 3 285

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 587Deviation -R 2 698

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 3 285. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 1 615

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 3 872 to R 4 437
Finished ahead: 236 / 1,000 (23,6%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #504 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 1,39% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.015
Mean bets / session: 2.273
Loss multiplier: 1.0027×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 14,8% / 26,2% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

BaccaratR 1 40213 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Craps / DiceR 1 35912 wagers · RTP 109,64%

European RouletteR 1 08410 wagers · RTP 0,00%

CrashR 9318 wagers · RTP 91,11%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 4534 wagers · RTP 22,30%

Three-Reel SlotR 4404 wagers · RTP 110,23%

Virtual Sports BettingR 4164 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BlackjackR 3463 wagers · RTP 160,40%

American RouletteR 2332 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 1001 wagers · RTP 0,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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