Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #334 of 1,000

P0758

Strict limits. The visible result sits at the 68,2% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 9 543

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 457

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 347Deviation -R 110

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 457. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 1 273

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 3 004 to R 3 000
Finished ahead: 235 / 1,000 (23,5%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #462 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,99% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.049
Mean bets / session: 3.186
Loss multiplier: 1.0099×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 9,7% / 12,9% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

European RouletteR 1 80020 wagers · RTP 170,89%

BaccaratR 1 75119 wagers · RTP 115,13%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1 06812 wagers · RTP 104,20%

American RouletteR 8099 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 7489 wagers · RTP 62,23%

BlackjackR 5466 wagers · RTP 86,90%

Lottery / JackpotR 5336 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Craps / DiceR 2813 wagers · RTP 0,00%

CrashR 2753 wagers · RTP 174,36%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 2703 wagers · RTP 0,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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