Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #162 of 1,000

P0759

Strict limits. The visible result sits at the 80,2% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 10 522

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

R 522

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 556Deviation R 1 078

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L R 522. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 1 138

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 3 014 to R 2 802
Finished ahead: 265 / 1,000 (26,5%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #445 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 1,18% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.814
Mean bets / session: 2.334
Loss multiplier: 1.002×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 12,8% / 19,9% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

European RouletteR 1 83616 wagers · RTP 118,14%

BaccaratR 1 13710 wagers · RTP 91,82%

Craps / DiceR 9729 wagers · RTP 108,02%

CrashR 9058 wagers · RTP 78,15%

Lottery / JackpotR 5005 wagers · RTP 0,00%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 4404 wagers · RTP 26,36%

Virtual Sports BettingR 3523 wagers · RTP 450,90%

Three-Reel SlotR 2352 wagers · RTP 49,36%

American RouletteR 1101 wagers · RTP 200,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

← Return to all 1,000 policies