Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #400 of 1,000

P0760

Strict limits. The visible result sits at the 43,7% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 9 177

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 823

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 153Deviation -R 670

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 823. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 708

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 1 583 to R 1 714
Finished ahead: 202 / 1,000 (20,2%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #387 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,68% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.727
Mean bets / session: 2.316
Loss multiplier: 1.0144×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 12,5% / 26,9% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

BaccaratR 5749 wagers · RTP 78,40%

Lottery / JackpotR 4397 wagers · RTP 84,74%

European RouletteR 3826 wagers · RTP 33,51%

Three-Reel SlotR 3776 wagers · RTP 24,01%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 3015 wagers · RTP 102,99%

BlackjackR 1332 wagers · RTP 50,38%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1322 wagers · RTP 75,70%

Craps / DiceR 1162 wagers · RTP 0,00%

American RouletteR 571 wagers · RTP 300,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

← Return to all 1,000 policies