Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #190 of 1,000

P0761

Strict limits. The visible result sits at the 74,1% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 10 213

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

R 213

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 240Deviation R 453

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L R 213. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 841

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 2 360 to R 3 125
Finished ahead: 291 / 1,000 (29,1%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #402 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,81% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.185
Mean bets / session: 2.564
Loss multiplier: 1.0069×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 14,0% / 23,8% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

European RouletteR 2 03926 wagers · RTP 109,27%

BaccaratR 1 10914 wagers · RTP 91,80%

Virtual Sports BettingR 5617 wagers · RTP 51,14%

CrashR 5427 wagers · RTP 103,51%

Craps / DiceR 4806 wagers · RTP 132,50%

Lottery / JackpotR 3785 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 3114 wagers · RTP 98,07%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 2603 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BlackjackR 2353 wagers · RTP 73,62%

American RouletteR 2323 wagers · RTP 496,55%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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