Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #469 of 1,000

P0762

Strict limits. The visible result sits at the 47,0% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 8 416

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 1 585

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 427Deviation -R 1 158

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 1 585. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 1 469

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 3 424 to R 6 073
Finished ahead: 248 / 1,000 (24,8%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #486 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,87% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.001
Mean bets / session: 4.673
Loss multiplier: 1.0111×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 13,0% / 18,2% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

European RouletteR 2 42232 wagers · RTP 103,43%

BaccaratR 2 14328 wagers · RTP 63,14%

American RouletteR 1 26417 wagers · RTP 101,82%

BlackjackR 1 10914 wagers · RTP 85,48%

CrashR 79011 wagers · RTP 113,04%

Craps / DiceR 6769 wagers · RTP 96,75%

Lottery / JackpotR 6729 wagers · RTP 40,48%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 3745 wagers · RTP 36,90%

Virtual Sports BettingR 3064 wagers · RTP 79,08%

Three-Reel SlotR 3054 wagers · RTP 60,49%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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