Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #248 of 1,000

P0763

Strict limits. The visible result sits at the 76,3% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 9 905

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 95

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 495Deviation R 400

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 95. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 1 607

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 3 309 to R 4 240
Finished ahead: 225 / 1,000 (22,5%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #502 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,86% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.031
Mean bets / session: 4.757
Loss multiplier: 1.0147×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 13,9% / 19,3% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

BlackjackR 2 19324 wagers · RTP 123,51%

BaccaratR 1 88721 wagers · RTP 95,12%

European RouletteR 1 62418 wagers · RTP 140,95%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1 17613 wagers · RTP 113,86%

Lottery / JackpotR 89610 wagers · RTP 20,09%

CrashR 7949 wagers · RTP 131,33%

American RouletteR 7248 wagers · RTP 26,52%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 6437 wagers · RTP 63,76%

Three-Reel SlotR 5416 wagers · RTP 42,61%

Craps / DiceR 2693 wagers · RTP 172,86%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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