Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #548 of 1,000

P0764

Strict limits. The visible result sits at the 43,0% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 7 705

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 2 295

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 381Deviation -R 1 914

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 2 295. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 1 853

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 4 382 to R 7 987
Finished ahead: 269 / 1,000 (26,9%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #531 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 1,45% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.954
Mean bets / session: 4.386
Loss multiplier: 1.0133×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 13,5% / 16,5% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

BaccaratR 3 73030 wagers · RTP 98,88%

European RouletteR 2 00016 wagers · RTP 98,40%

American RouletteR 1 43412 wagers · RTP 78,66%

Craps / DiceR 1 16010 wagers · RTP 116,38%

BlackjackR 8967 wagers · RTP 70,76%

CrashR 7266 wagers · RTP 46,83%

Three-Reel SlotR 7256 wagers · RTP 28,97%

Virtual Sports BettingR 7156 wagers · RTP 60,96%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 5034 wagers · RTP 27,83%

Lottery / JackpotR 3003 wagers · RTP 0,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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