Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #552 of 1,000

P0766

Strict limits. The visible result sits at the 11,6% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 7 677

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 2 323

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 182Deviation -R 2 141

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 2 323. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 1 239

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 2 632 to R 7 245
Finished ahead: 226 / 1,000 (22,6%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #455 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,79% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.974
Mean bets / session: 3.357
Loss multiplier: 1.0142×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 10,6% / 22,2% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

European RouletteR 1 44621 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BaccaratR 1 32419 wagers · RTP 102,98%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 98214 wagers · RTP 36,66%

CrashR 5448 wagers · RTP 112,27%

Craps / DiceR 4186 wagers · RTP 64,59%

Lottery / JackpotR 2283 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BlackjackR 2173 wagers · RTP 133,64%

Three-Reel SlotR 2033 wagers · RTP 65,52%

American RouletteR 791 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Virtual Sports BettingR 671 wagers · RTP 235,25%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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