Research simulation · fictional money · no deposits, prizes or visitor wagers
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Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #332 of 1,000

P0767

Strict limits. The visible result sits at the 56,3% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 9 547

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 454

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 131Deviation -R 323

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

P0767 cumulative P&L by calendar monthMonth-six visible P&L -R 454. Bankroll allocations used: 1.
Month-six visible P&L -R 454. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 593

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile
-R 1 756 to R 2 524
Finished ahead
285 / 1,000 (28,5%)
At least one ruin
0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank
#366 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake
0,71% of bankroll
Sessions / week
0.953
Mean bets / session
2.598
Loss multiplier
1.0037×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win
8,0% / 21,4% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

Craps / DiceR 1 29519 wagers · RTP 137,14%
BaccaratR 1 08416 wagers · RTP 79,04%
European RouletteR 94714 wagers · RTP 50,48%
CrashR 5338 wagers · RTP 144,42%
BlackjackR 2734 wagers · RTP 97,44%
American RouletteR 2033 wagers · RTP 66,01%
Lottery / JackpotR 1372 wagers · RTP 0,00%
Three-Reel SlotR 1292 wagers · RTP 0,00%
High-Volatility Video SlotR 1282 wagers · RTP 50,00%
Virtual Sports BettingR 691 wagers · RTP 0,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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