Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #203 of 1,000

P0768

Strict limits. The visible result sits at the 76,3% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 10 136

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

R 136

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 221Deviation R 357

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L R 136. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 733

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 1 908 to R 2 127
Finished ahead: 264 / 1,000 (26,4%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #392 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,80% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.791
Mean bets / session: 2.922
Loss multiplier: 1.0155×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 11,1% / 12,8% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

BaccaratR 1 17614 wagers · RTP 122,55%

European RouletteR 1 10213 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Virtual Sports BettingR 97312 wagers · RTP 76,54%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 5156 wagers · RTP 33,40%

Three-Reel SlotR 3895 wagers · RTP 61,18%

CrashR 3334 wagers · RTP 77,85%

American RouletteR 3224 wagers · RTP 793,79%

Craps / DiceR 3214 wagers · RTP 100,93%

BlackjackR 3194 wagers · RTP 23,20%

Lottery / JackpotR 2233 wagers · RTP 0,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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