Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #336 of 1,000

P0769

Strict limits. The visible result sits at the 66,7% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 9 538

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 462

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 399Deviation -R 63

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 462. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 1 435

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 3 604 to R 4 860
Finished ahead: 260 / 1,000 (26,0%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #479 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 1,49% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.173
Mean bets / session: 2.325
Loss multiplier: 1.0094×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 8,5% / 19,6% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

European RouletteR 2 49017 wagers · RTP 109,52%

CrashR 1 92313 wagers · RTP 98,57%

BaccaratR 1 76912 wagers · RTP 84,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 1 0477 wagers · RTP 50,38%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1 0357 wagers · RTP 62,60%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 7315 wagers · RTP 99,18%

Craps / DiceR 4293 wagers · RTP 131,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 4004 wagers · RTP 50,00%

BlackjackR 2912 wagers · RTP 200,00%

American RouletteR 1501 wagers · RTP 300,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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