Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #405 of 1,000

P0770

Strict limits. The visible result sits at the 72,1% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 9 107

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 893

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 729Deviation -R 164

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 893. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 2 545

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 5 022 to R 6 689
Finished ahead: 214 / 1,000 (21,4%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #599 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 1,80% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.793
Mean bets / session: 4.293
Loss multiplier: 1.0193×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 12,6% / 23,5% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

European RouletteR 4 11826 wagers · RTP 104,03%

BaccaratR 3 82324 wagers · RTP 115,56%

CrashR 1 81011 wagers · RTP 120,94%

BlackjackR 1 56510 wagers · RTP 83,71%

Lottery / JackpotR 1 30013 wagers · RTP 15,38%

American RouletteR 1 2488 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1 2358 wagers · RTP 120,74%

Craps / DiceR 8085 wagers · RTP 82,67%

Three-Reel SlotR 6454 wagers · RTP 198,99%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 1851 wagers · RTP 0,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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