Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #415 of 1,000

P0771

Strict limits. The visible result sits at the 46,4% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 8 970

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 1 030

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 134Deviation -R 896

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 1 030. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 911

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 2 430 to R 3 463
Finished ahead: 282 / 1,000 (28,2%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #415 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 1,05% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.605
Mean bets / session: 3.368
Loss multiplier: 1.0188×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 15,9% / 23,6% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

European RouletteR 1 39114 wagers · RTP 63,41%

Three-Reel SlotR 1 09011 wagers · RTP 72,57%

BaccaratR 5786 wagers · RTP 116,61%

Craps / DiceR 3924 wagers · RTP 97,96%

American RouletteR 2983 wagers · RTP 0,00%

BlackjackR 2002 wagers · RTP 147,00%

CrashR 1061 wagers · RTP 0,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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