Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #497 of 1,000

P0772

Strict limits. The visible result sits at the 19,8% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 8 206

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 1 794

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 222Deviation -R 1 572

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 1 794. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 949

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 2 370 to R 3 024
Finished ahead: 258 / 1,000 (25,8%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #419 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 0,89% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.777
Mean bets / session: 3.491
Loss multiplier: 1.0194×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 12,5% / 15,8% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

European RouletteR 1 51620 wagers · RTP 26,52%

BaccaratR 1 13815 wagers · RTP 89,76%

American RouletteR 86612 wagers · RTP 135,57%

Craps / DiceR 5467 wagers · RTP 84,25%

Virtual Sports BettingR 4025 wagers · RTP 121,37%

BlackjackR 3915 wagers · RTP 47,95%

CrashR 3805 wagers · RTP 92,89%

Three-Reel SlotR 2694 wagers · RTP 47,96%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 2543 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 2473 wagers · RTP 0,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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