Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #632 of 1,000

P0773

Strict limits. The visible result sits at the 23,6% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replicated outcomes.

VISIBLE RESULTWithin the 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable advantage

Current bankroll

R 6 758

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 3 242

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 475Deviation -R 2 766

The six-month record

Profit and loss over time

Month-six visible P&L -R 3 242. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

The same policy under new random paths

-R 2 063

Median final P&L across worlds

5th–95th percentile: -R 4 302 to R 6 542
Finished ahead: 243 / 1,000 (24,3%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #556 / 1,000

The fixed behaviour

Policy settings

Base stake: 1,72% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.757
Mean bets / session: 4.322
Loss multiplier: 1.0058×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 14,5% / 25,7% of session-start bankroll

The recorded exposure

Where the money was wagered

European RouletteR 3 93125 wagers · RTP 71,15%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 2 61517 wagers · RTP 5,93%

BaccaratR 2 58217 wagers · RTP 120,96%

BlackjackR 2 32714 wagers · RTP 130,38%

Craps / DiceR 1 5979 wagers · RTP 44,21%

Three-Reel SlotR 5754 wagers · RTP 48,00%

Virtual Sports BettingR 4433 wagers · RTP 162,26%

Lottery / JackpotR 4004 wagers · RTP 0,00%

American RouletteR 3492 wagers · RTP 126,36%

CrashR 3262 wagers · RTP 200,00%

What this profile can — and cannot — show

A smaller loss is not a profit, and a high rank does not prove skill. Behaviour changes both the wagers selected and the amount of exposure. “Expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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